John Curtice's blog
Today’s co-ordinated statements by George Osborne, Ed Balls and Danny Alexander that they are not willing to contemplate the prospect of an independent Scotland forming a monetary union with the rest of the UK is probably the most dramatic intervention yet by the No side in the referendum campaign. Their intention is to make it clear that such a possibility will be off the table irrespective of the outcome of the next UK general election in 2015. But will this prove a decisive move in the battle to win voters’ hearts and minds?
John Curtice reviews the polls. He finds that most indicators continue to suggest that the verdict will be No and argues that although the debate will range far and wide in the coming months, the victory will ultimately go to the side that presents the most convincing economic argument. This blog was republished from LSE British Politics and Policy blog.
The publication this week of the Scottish Government’s White Paper on Independence is arguably the most important development in the referendum campaign so far. It is intended to answer the public’s questions about what independence would entail – and to persuade them of the merits of a Yes vote. But how big a task does Alex Salmond face in winning a Yes majority? Here is a quick guide to the state of public opinion so far – if the polls are to be believed.