John Curtice's blog
It is commonly asserted that what most Scots would like to happen after the referendum is for Scotland to have a more powerful parliament in Edinburgh, while remaining part of the United Kingdom.
This is, in truth, a considerable exaggeration. It would be more accurate to say that more devolution is the least unpopular of the various options that have been proposed. Even then it is far from clear that Scots accept all of the implications that giving Holyrood more power – and responsibility – would bring.
Today’s co-ordinated statements by George Osborne, Ed Balls and Danny Alexander that they are not willing to contemplate the prospect of an independent Scotland forming a monetary union with the rest of the UK is probably the most dramatic intervention yet by the No side in the referendum campaign. Their intention is to make it clear that such a possibility will be off the table irrespective of the outcome of the next UK general election in 2015. But will this prove a decisive move in the battle to win voters’ hearts and minds?
John Curtice reviews the polls. He finds that most indicators continue to suggest that the verdict will be No and argues that although the debate will range far and wide in the coming months, the victory will ultimately go to the side that presents the most convincing economic argument. This blog was republished from LSE British Politics and Policy blog.